Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
STP
0 - 1
SHR
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SLR
0 - 1
SHR
24%
27%
49%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SHR
2 - 0
WAT
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
FIN
2 - 1
SHR
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BOH
2 - 1
SHR
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
DER
3 - 0
LON
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
BOH
3 - 3
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
FIN
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 0
DER
28%
25%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SLR
1 - 2
DER
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |