Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs SpVgg Vreden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
15º
9º
43
6º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ERN
3 - 2
SFB
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 2
TVC
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
WIE
5 - 1
SFB
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 1
SFB
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SFB
6 - 0
DSC
57%
20%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SVR
1 - 4
PRE
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 4
SVR
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ASC
2 - 1
SVR
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SVR
1 - 1
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TUS
2 - 3
SVR
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |