Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs ASC 09 Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
15º
9º
49
6º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
SFB
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SFB
1 - 0
SVR
52%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ERN
3 - 2
SFB
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 2
TVC
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
WIE
5 - 1
SFB
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
ASC 09 Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 3
PRE
39%
22%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
ASC
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ERN
2 - 1
ASC
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TUS
4 - 0
ASC
53%
20%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 2
SPO
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |