SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Vahr-Blockdiek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
5º
32
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
1.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 35 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
66% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
54.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
4% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
57% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 1
SGA
9%
14%
78%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 4
TRB
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
WER
10 - 0
SGA
75%
15%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 7
SGA
23%
20%
58%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SGA
4 - 0
OSC
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 1
VAT
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 0
VAB
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -4 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 0
BTN
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 1
VAB
40%
22%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -3 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
VAB
3 - 2
LEH
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +2 |