Oberliga Bremen. Jor. 22

SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Bremer SV analysis

SG Aumund-Vegesack Bremer SV
13 ELO 42
11.7% Tilt 15.4%
6572º General ELO ranking 4543º
248º Country ELO ranking 140º
ELO win probability
12.4%
SG Aumund-Vegesack
17.3%
Draw
70.3%
Bremer SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
SG Aumund-Vegesack
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
70.3%
Win probability
Bremer SV
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SG Aumund-Vegesack
-33%
+18%
Bremer SV

ELO progression

SG Aumund-Vegesack
Bremer SV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SG Aumund-Vegesack
SG Aumund-Vegesack
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2010
HAB
Habenhauser FV
3 - 1
SG Aumund-Vegesack
SGA
66%
18%
16%
15 21 6 0
05 Dec. 2009
SGA
SG Aumund-Vegesack
1 - 2
Melchiorshausen
MEL
80%
13%
7%
16 9 7 -1
29 Nov. 2009
TUR
Türkspor Bremen
2 - 2
SG Aumund-Vegesack
SGA
58%
21%
22%
16 18 2 0
22 Nov. 2009
SCH
Schwachhausen
0 - 5
SG Aumund-Vegesack
SGA
54%
21%
25%
15 15 0 +1
14 Nov. 2009
SGA
SG Aumund-Vegesack
1 - 1
VfL Bremen
VFL
40%
23%
37%
14 18 4 +1

Matches

Bremer SV
Bremer SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2010
BRE
Bremer SV
2 - 1
FC Sparta Bremerhaven
FCB
74%
15%
11%
40 26 14 0
28 Nov. 2009
VFL
VfL Bremen
2 - 3
Bremer SV
BRE
16%
19%
65%
40 19 21 0
21 Nov. 2009
WER
Werder Bremen III
1 - 1
Bremer SV
BRE
35%
24%
41%
41 35 6 -1
07 Nov. 2009
OSC
OSC Bremerhaven
2 - 4
Bremer SV
BRE
40%
24%
37%
39 35 4 +2
31 Oct. 2009
BRE
Bremer SV
1 - 0
Osterholz-Tenever
OST
87%
9%
4%
39 10 29 0
X