Stern vs Mahlsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
55.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
SFC
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MSV
1 - 1
SFC
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 3
MSV
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BWB
4 - 1
SFC
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
SFC
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mahlsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAH
2 - 0
MSV
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MSV
3 - 2
MAH
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAH
0 - 3
BWB
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
MAH
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LAS
1 - 4
MAH
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |