Sevilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
CEL
4 - 1
SEV
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATM
58%
19%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
RUN
1 - 0
SEV
71%
15%
14%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 3
SEV
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1932 |
SEV
5 - 2
SPO
56%
20%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
MUR
1 - 3
OVI
53%
20%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 3
MUR
51%
22%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
MUR
1 - 0
DEP
64%
18%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
SPO
2 - 2
MUR
66%
18%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1932 |
MUR
2 - 1
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |