Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
RJA
1 - 0
SEV
31%
23%
45%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
35%
24%
42%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
SEV
0 - 1
VCF
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
UDL
4 - 1
SEV
31%
23%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1957 |
VAD
2 - 0
SEV
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
RMA
4 - 0
GRA
89%
8%
4%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
OSA
1 - 0
RMA
24%
22%
54%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RMA
19%
22%
60%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
RMA
0 - 0
ATM
79%
12%
9%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
CEL
2 - 1
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |