Sevastopol vs Desna Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevastopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
OBO
6 - 0
PSE
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
PSE
3 - 1
HOV
37%
27%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
NAF
1 - 2
PSE
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
PSE
0 - 1
KNS
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
PRY
2 - 6
PSE
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
DES
1 - 0
HEL
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ENE
1 - 2
DES
34%
28%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
DES
1 - 3
ODE
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
KRY
0 - 0
DES
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
DES
0 - 1
VOL
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |