Sestao River vs Guijuelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
ATH
3 - 1
SES
55%
24%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
RUN
4 - 1
SES
54%
26%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
SES
1 - 0
LEM
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CFP
1 - 3
SES
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SES
2 - 1
MIR
41%
28%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CDG
1 - 1
RUN
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LEM
1 - 0
CDG
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CDG
1 - 2
CFP
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MIR
3 - 2
CDG
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CDG
1 - 2
CUL
21%
27%
52%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |