Servette vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
5º
2º
32
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SIO
0 - 0
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
SER
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
STG
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
SER
0 - 2
WHU
12%
22%
67%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
ANN
1 - 0
SER
26%
22%
52%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 4
LUG
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STG
2 - 0
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 0
SCB
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 1
WIN
46%
24%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |