Servette vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LAC
1 - 1
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WOH
3 - 2
SER
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SER
2 - 5
LOC
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
STG
2 - 0
SER
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CON
3 - 1
SER
54%
21%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
THU
0 - 4
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
THU
2 - 1
LOC
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BIE
3 - 2
THU
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
THU
2 - 4
YVE
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
STA
0 - 2
THU
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |