Servette vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
LAU
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
STA
63%
20%
16%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
FCV
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCL
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
FCL
0 - 0
ZUR
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |