Servette vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
9º
3º
59
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
SLP
4 - 0
SER
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 1
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
YOB
1 - 1
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
ROM
15%
23%
63%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
GCZ
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 2
BJK
29%
25%
47%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 3
BAS
36%
25%
40%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
BOG
5 - 2
LUG
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |