1. Liga Promotion round 28

Servette II vs Lugano II analysis

Servette II Lugano II
45 ELO 46
24.2% Tilt 13.7%
4422º General ELO ranking 4190º
48º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
51.4%
Servette II
22.3%
Draw
26.3%
Lugano II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
Servette II
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.3%
Win probability
Lugano II
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Servette II
+32%
+27%
Lugano II

ELO progression

Servette II
Lugano II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Servette II
Servette II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
SCB
SC Bruhl
3 - 0
Servette II
SER
57%
21%
22%
46 51 5 0
06 Apr. 2024
KRI
SC Kriens
0 - 1
Servette II
SER
66%
19%
15%
45 56 11 +1
31 Mar. 2024
SER
Servette II
1 - 3
Delemont
DEL
34%
23%
43%
46 51 5 -1
23 Mar. 2024
ETO
Etoile Carouge
3 - 2
Servette II
SER
71%
17%
11%
47 61 14 -1
17 Mar. 2024
SER
Servette II
1 - 1
SC Cham
CHA
26%
23%
52%
46 55 9 +1

Matches

Lugano II
Lugano II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
3 - 0
Delemont
DEL
17%
21%
62%
44 53 9 0
06 Apr. 2024
ETO
Etoile Carouge
3 - 2
Lugano II
LUG
78%
15%
8%
44 63 19 0
30 Mar. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
3 - 2
SC Cham
CHA
12%
18%
70%
42 56 14 +2
23 Mar. 2024
BAV
Bavois
3 - 1
Lugano II
LUG
66%
19%
15%
43 50 7 -1
17 Mar. 2024
LUG
Lugano II
2 - 1
Bulle
BUL
32%
25%
43%
42 46 4 +1