Sertãozinho vs USAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
TAU
1 - 3
SER
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
OES
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
RBB
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
USA
2 - 1
SAO
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
USA
0 - 0
MAT
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 2
USA
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
USA
4 - 0
GRE
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 3
USA
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |