Sertanense vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 3
UDL
15%
24%
61%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BEN
22%
25%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CON
40%
24%
37%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
72%
18%
9%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |