Sertanense vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
58.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
CAL
38%
29%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SIN
1 - 3
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
ALV
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 0
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 2
UDL
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ANA
2 - 1
VIL
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALC
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
IRI
0 - 0
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |