Sertanense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLE
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 3
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
72%
18%
9%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 1
MAR
70%
20%
11%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
CON
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
3 - 1
ALC
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |