Sertanense vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
UDA
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 3
SER
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
SER
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
OLH
2 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
GDF
24%
27%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
60%
24%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 2
CAS
8%
16%
76%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
COI
14%
24%
62%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FAV
1 - 0
CAS
14%
20%
67%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GOU
0 - 2
CAS
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |