Sertanense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ELE
2 - 3
SER
27%
25%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 0
SER
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 6
SER
18%
23%
60%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
1DE
48%
28%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ADN
0 - 1
CAL
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
BEN
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAS
37%
29%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAF
2 - 1
CAL
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |