Serrano SC vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ARN
3 - 2
SER
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
10%
20%
70%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
JEC
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
SER
3 - 0
CON
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 2
SAN
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
CEN
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
CEN
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
SAL
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
CEN
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |