Serrano FC vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
RIO
3 - 3
SFC
27%
23%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SFC
2 - 0
CIG
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
SFC
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
SFC
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
SFC
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 0
DUQ
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUQ
0 - 1
OLA
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DUQ
4 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 3
DUQ
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |