Serra Talhada vs Pesqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
PER
3 - 1
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
PER
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PES
2 - 2
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
YPI
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
CEN
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
PES
0 - 2
CEN
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 1
PES
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PES
2 - 2
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PES
1 - 0
VCR
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
PES
27%
24%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |