Serra Talhada vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
CHA
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 1
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
YPI
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
AME
0 - 0
SAL
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
POR
34%
24%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
ACA
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |