Serra Macaense vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
SER
3 - 0
RBC
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
GOY
29%
26%
46%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
SER
70%
18%
11%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
BAR
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 2
GOY
32%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
SAM
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 1
BAR
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
TIG
3 - 0
SAM
49%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 2
AFC
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |