Serra Macaense vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
SER
1 - 3
SAM
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
SER
3 - 0
RBC
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
GOY
29%
26%
46%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
POR
4 - 1
GOY
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
AFC
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |