Serra Macaense vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
FRI
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
SER
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SER
0 - 3
PER
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 2
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
BON
1 - 2
ZFC
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ZFC
2 - 0
BON
24%
21%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 2
BON
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BON
1 - 1
MAD
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
BON
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +2 |