Serra Macaense vs Artsul FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 0
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
POR
31%
26%
42%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
SER
1 - 3
SAM
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Artsul FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 3
GOY
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
TIG
0 - 1
AFC
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
RBC
1 - 1
AFC
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |