Serra Macaense vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
32%
24%
43%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
JFC
0 - 3
SER
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
GOY
27%
25%
48%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
ANG
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
CER
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 5
AME
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AME
3 - 1
BON
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 4
AME
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |