Serra FC vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
DES
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SER
3 - 2
RIO
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SER
0 - 2
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 5
SER
18%
20%
63%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
4 - 0
DES
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
RIO
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SER
3 - 2
RIO
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NVE
1 - 1
RIO
50%
22%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 0
NVE
26%
22%
52%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |