Serra FC vs Rio Branco-VN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
SER
3 - 3
RIO
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAP
0 - 1
SER
12%
17%
71%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
SER
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
NOV
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SER
2 - 2
REA
46%
28%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
RVV
3 - 0
SCS
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
RIO
4 - 1
RVV
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
VIL
6 - 0
RVV
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
RVV
0 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 1
RVV
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |