Capixaba Fase Final Semi-finals

Global 2-3

Serra FC vs Real Noroeste analysis

Serra FC Real Noroeste
48 ELO 51
-7.4% Tilt -7.2%
3366º General ELO ranking 3680º
100º Country ELO ranking 117º
ELO win probability
41.6%
Serra FC
23.1%
Draw
35.3%
Real Noroeste

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
Serra FC
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.3%
Win probability
Real Noroeste
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Serra FC
+6%
-38%
Real Noroeste

ELO progression

Serra FC
Real Noroeste
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serra FC
Serra FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2022
REA
Real Noroeste
0 - 2
Serra FC
SER
48%
23%
29%
48 51 3 0
09 Apr. 2022
SER
Serra FC
3 - 1
Vilavelhense
VFC
60%
21%
19%
48 39 9 0
01 Apr. 2022
VFC
Vilavelhense
1 - 3
Serra FC
SER
29%
23%
48%
47 41 6 +1
26 Mar. 2022
VFC
Vilavelhense
2 - 3
Serra FC
SER
32%
23%
45%
47 42 5 0
19 Mar. 2022
SER
Serra FC
3 - 0
Colatina
COL
16%
19%
66%
45 57 12 +2

Matches

Real Noroeste
Real Noroeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2022
POA
Pouso Alegre
2 - 1
Real Noroeste
REA
41%
27%
32%
50 49 1 0
15 Apr. 2022
REA
Real Noroeste
0 - 2
Serra FC
SER
48%
23%
29%
51 48 3 -1
09 Apr. 2022
REA
Real Noroeste
3 - 1
Rio Branco ES
RIO
49%
25%
26%
50 48 2 +1
03 Apr. 2022
RIO
Rio Branco ES
1 - 0
Real Noroeste
REA
33%
26%
41%
51 46 5 -1
26 Mar. 2022
EST
Estrela do Norte
1 - 1
Real Noroeste
REA
24%
25%
51%
51 44 7 0