Serra FC vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 1
SER
7%
14%
79%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SER
0 - 2
DES
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
REA
1 - 1
SER
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
LIN
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
74%
18%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
DES
40%
28%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
EST
64%
21%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |