Serra Branca vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
POM
20%
20%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
SER
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
SER
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RFC
3 - 1
SER
77%
16%
8%
|
16 | 59 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 0
SER
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
BOT
24%
27%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
CAM
17%
21%
63%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
POM
2 - 1
CAM
17%
20%
63%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 2
PAC
57%
26%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 1
CAM
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |