Serpa vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PIN
4 - 1
SER
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 3
JUV
38%
23%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 5
EST
4%
10%
86%
|
26 | 72 | 46 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 3
OLH
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
6 - 0
SER
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
LOU
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FCB
2 - 2
MON
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
EDL
50%
22%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
IMO
1 - 1
MON
84%
12%
4%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |