Sernancelhe vs Mangualde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sernancelhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SCP
4 - 0
SER
82%
12%
6%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TAR
4 - 1
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
SAT
10%
17%
73%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RES
2 - 1
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
NEL
25%
22%
54%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mangualde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OFR
2 - 2
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LAM
1 - 0
MAN
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 0
TAR
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAT
1 - 1
MAN
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
RES
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |