Sergipe vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
BAH
3 - 0
SER
75%
18%
7%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
27%
31%
42%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
SER
0 - 1
AME
17%
28%
55%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
SER
1 - 4
DES
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SER
0 - 1
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLU
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1977 |
AME
1 - 0
FLU
81%
13%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
VOL
2 - 2
FLU
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 0
DES
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 2
VIT
29%
30%
41%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |