Sergipe vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 2
SER
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SER
3 - 0
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
CUI
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 3
ATG
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 0
AFP
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
AMP
1 - 1
DOR
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 3
SER
27%
24%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |