Sergipe vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
SER
0 - 2
NAU
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SER
4 - 0
AFP
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 1
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
DOR
32%
22%
45%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
SER
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 0
DOR
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |