Seregno vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PON
2 - 2
SER
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
ASS
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 1
SER
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
LEC
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DCA
0 - 1
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
DCA
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 1
VIR
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 1
VIR
65%
18%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
OLG
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |