Seregno vs Casatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
SER
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
DES
3 - 3
SER
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 4
SER
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SER
2 - 4
NIB
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Casatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
USB
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 1
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 4
CAS
16%
19%
66%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
CRE
64%
19%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |