Seregno vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
3 - 2
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
OLG
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
5 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
SER
31%
27%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 3
SER
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
DCA
46%
26%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
PSM
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |