Serbia and Montenegro vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.4%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
2.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia and Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BIH
0 - 0
SCG
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SMR
0 - 3
SCG
13%
21%
67%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SVN
1 - 1
SCG
68%
18%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 0
SCG
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
SVK
0 - 2
SCG
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
LTU
4 - 0
SMR
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SMR
0 - 3
SCG
13%
21%
67%
|
43 | 80 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
SMR
1 - 0
LIE
84%
10%
6%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SWE
5 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
43 | 94 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 2
SMR
32%
23%
46%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | -1 |