Seravezza vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
USR
0 - 0
SER
34%
25%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
LEN
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
SER
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
SER
4 - 1
GHI
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 1
SER
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 4
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
PRO
35%
24%
42%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
ACA
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 3
PRO
9%
15%
76%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
FOR
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |