Seongnam FC vs Busan I Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
9º
9º
21
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 80 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 76 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 74 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 67 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 61 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 61 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 49 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 45 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 42 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 32 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 27 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seongnam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDR
2 - 1
SEO
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SEO
1 - 2
ELA
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SUW
3 - 2
SEO
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SEO
0 - 0
BUC
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GYE
0 - 1
SEO
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CHE
0 - 2
BUS
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BUS
2 - 0
KOR
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BUS
3 - 2
HWA
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ANG
1 - 3
BUS
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BUS
2 - 2
ELA
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |