Senja vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 0
SEN
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
KJE
7 - 2
SEN
52%
22%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SEN
4 - 1
TRO
57%
21%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
8 - 0
SEN
76%
15%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SEN
4 - 2
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
NES
70%
18%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
5 - 1
FOL
51%
23%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -3 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
AAL
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RAU
5 - 1
FOL
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
VAL
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |