Senegal vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
20.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.9%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
14.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
SEN
1 - 0
BDI
77%
17%
6%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
BFA
2 - 2
SEN
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1999 |
MLI
1 - 1
SEN
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
LBY
2 - 1
SEN
40%
28%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
SEN
1 - 1
BFA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
9%
21%
71%
|
10 | 73 | 63 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
ERI
0 - 0
CMR
8%
18%
73%
|
9 | 80 | 71 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
MOZ
3 - 1
ERI
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | 0 |