Semily vs Dobrovice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Semily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SEM
5 - 2
UST
43%
24%
34%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
SPA
4 - 1
SEM
69%
17%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SEM
1 - 1
UNI
47%
23%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
JIS
5 - 4
SEM
72%
16%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SEM
2 - 3
PNI
40%
23%
38%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dobrovice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
DOB
6 - 2
ESK
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
TYN
0 - 6
DOB
13%
21%
67%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
DOB
4 - 0
VYS
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ESK
4 - 0
DOB
29%
25%
47%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
DOB
0 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |