Selwyn United vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
84.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SUF
0 - 2
COA
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CHR
3 - 1
SUF
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
4 - 0
SUF
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
NOM
3 - 1
SUF
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
SUF
5 - 0
WAF
41%
21%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NSF
5 - 0
NOM
60%
19%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NSF
3 - 1
WAF
93%
6%
2%
|
30 | 6 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
NSF
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NSF
1 - 2
CAS
11%
18%
71%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
COA
4 - 2
NSF
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |